The H5N1 Avian Flu virus in Turkey has infected at least 14 people and killed at least two children (and probably a third, whose body was buried before testing). These are the first human cases to be reported outside of Southeast Asia and China.

The good news: So far there’s been no evidence of human-to-human transmission of the virus reported. Nearly all cases were in people who were in close contact to dead or diseased poultry, health officials have said. If the virus adapts to spread easily person to person, that’s when a pandemic could start.

The bad news: The world is now closer to another flu pandemic than at any other time since 1968, according to the World Health Organization.